Stocks rose on Tuesday, extending Wall Street's winning streak as traders monitored ceasefire negotiations in Europe and key levels in the bond market.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 338.30 points, or 0.97%, to close at 35,294.29. The S&P 500 gained 1.23% to 4,631.60, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.84% to 14,619.64. The Dow and S&P 500 have advanced in four straight trading sessions.
Auto stocks were some of the biggest gainers, with Ford rising 6.5% and GM gaining more than 4%. Travel stocks outperformed as well, with Caesar's Entertainment surging 5.6% and American Airlines adding 5%.
In tech, Netflix climbed more than 3% and Snap jumped 4.5%. Shares of Moderna rose 4.4% after U.S. regulators approved an additional Covid vaccine booster shot for people age 50 and over.
The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields, which economists see as more predictive of a potential recession, also narrowed perilously close to inversion on Tuesday. Some bond pricing sources said the curve did invert, but CNBC data showed that traded just about flat but did not technically invert.
Even when the yield curve correctly predicts a recession, it can still be more than year before the slowdown happens, history shows. Investors appeared to shake off the recession fears on Tuesday.
"Our base case is that the US economy can avoid a recession, lowering the threat of a sustained downtrend in stocks. As such, investors should brace for higher rates—including potentially adding exposure to value and financial stocks which tend to outperform as central bank policy tightens—without overreacting by exiting equity markets," Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note to clients.
Growing hope for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire appeared to help investor sentiment on Tuesday. Russian Deputy Defense Minister Alexander Fomin said Tuesday that the country will "drastically" reduce military activity near the Ukrainian capital Kyiv.
To be sure, both sides have said in recent days they are not close to reaching a deal. Ahead of the negotiations in Turkey, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said on that "nothing is agreed upon unless everything is agreed upon." Stocks gave back some of their gains on Tuesday after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said the U.S. was focused on Russia's actions more than its words.
Futures for U.S. crude benchmark West Texas Intermediate briefly fell below $100 per barrel on Tuesday morning before rebounding to about $104 per barrel.
"There's some clear optimism there, but I think the real question is going to be how long do the economic impacts last," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist at BMO Wealth Management.
The invasion of Ukraine, along with a hawkish turn from the Federal Reserve, led to a rocky start to the new year for stocks. However, the S&P 500 has now rebounded nearly 11% since March 14.
"It's not quite lipstick on a pig but this move does take some of the sting off of what has been a weak Q1 for equities. ... The question for stocks as an asset class is whether the improvement seen in March was a bounce of impressive degree but limited duration, or the beginning of an extended rally that could carry the indexes to new highs," Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at All Star Charts, said in a note to clients.
In corporate news, shares of FedEx rose more than 3% after the company announced that founder Fred Smith would step down as CEO on June 1 and be replaced internally. Health care giant UnitedHealth Group announced a deal to buy LHC Group for $170 per share, sending the smaller company's stock up nearly 6%.
On the economic front, the conference board's consumer confidence index came in at 107.2, below the 107.5 expected, according to Dow Jones. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed 11.3 million job openings, higher than the 11.1 million expected.