It’s Our Turn This Weekend

When was the last Nor'easter?<br>March 8, 2013 was the last Nor'easter. That one dropped 29" of snow at The Blue Hill Observatory (we had only forecast 10"). I hope that kind of error does not happen here. We would be talking 36")<br><br>This is the first autumn in years with no east coast 'super storm', 'hybrid hurricane', 'extra tropical ice storm' or the like.<br><br>Scituate Town Engineer Kevin Cafferty is taking credit for this rare fall without a big storm.<br>He says, "I am very lucky with weather. The Scituate Lighthouse parking lot is wide open to the sea. We are placing 4 ton boulders in place like puzzle pieces, this project can not be rushed. The weather cooperates for me." <br><div><img src="" alt="IMG_4383.JPG" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div><br>Let's see how Scituate is faring, here is my personal <a href="Let's see how Scituate is faring, here is my personal webcam.">webcam</a>.<br><br>Keep reading for more photos, and the TK 33 rule of snowstorms causing power outages.<br><br><div><img src="/common/global_images/blog_divider.png"></div>&nbsp;<br><br><div><img src="" alt="IMG_4382.JPG" alignment="none" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div>Scituate Seawall Committee meeting November 15, 2013.<br>They are rather camera shy. Kevin Cafferty is second from left.<br><br><div><img src="" alt="IMG_4391.JPG" alignment="none" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div><br><div><img src="" alt="IMG_4392.JPG" alignment="none" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div><br>My first time up in the Scituate Lighthouse<br>The excavator is in a hole, part of the revetment repair, and raise.<br><br><div><img src="" alt="IMG_4388.JPG" alignment="none" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div><br>Kevin, are we ready for this storm? (Yes we are). It's a moderate to major Nor'easter.<br><br>Looks like wind from the northeast will gust close to 50 mph before sunrise Sunday.<br>We are coming in full 'Cold Moon', that means strong tides, highest near midnight and noon. (a little rule I just learned about when the high tide is during full moon).<br>So it's the late Saturday Night 8 foot waves on a 12 foot tide gives the fix it's first test.<br>My guess is, NO PROBLEM.<br><br>But weaker walls and lower grades will experience minor to wind, wave, and tidal impacts, minor to moderate erosion and minor coastal flooding.<br>Here is the National Weather Service <a href=";wwa=coastal%20flood%20advisory">Tide Forecast</a>.<br><br>How much snow?<br><a href="">Joe Joyce</a> tweeted these beautiful snow charts, <a href="">Matt</a> &amp; I had turn helping make these graphics so pretty.<br><br><div><img src="" alt="BbZlAU5CQAAh7HE.pnglarge.png" alignment="none" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""><br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; /\<br>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; \/&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <br></div><div><img src="" alt="BbZhH5XCYAECtMo.pnglarge.png" border="0" vspace="" hspace=""></div><br>This is an exceptionally cold storm for so early in December. But not near as bad as last week in Denver (Fifteen Below Zero), or as dramatic as the <a href="">first snow in a century for Cairo Egypt</a>.<br><br>Noon time temperatures of 10-20 in New England are the coldest yet this season, one reason the the snow rain line will not get very far inland.<br><br>We may have to invoke the Thirty Three Rule.<br>That is the TK 33 rule...<br><br>If we experience<br><br>Moderate Snow with<br>A Temperature of 33<br>A Dew point of 33<br>Wind gusts of 33<br>Snowfall Greater than 3.3"<br><br>We also experience damage to trees and power lines.<br>Which means a disruption in the distribution of electricity.<br>The most likely place for this to occur is within 3 miles of the shore north of The Situate Lighthouse, to <a href="">The Memorial Bridge in Portsmouth New Hampshire</a>.<br><br>more on Saturday..<br><br><a href="">tk</a><br><br><br><br><br><br><br>

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