Just as one batch of light, fluffy snow moves out of New England, our attention turns to a more powerful storm that will threaten by this weekend.
It's still several days away, meaning it's too early for specifics, but here's a break down of what we're watching.
This strong storm looks likely to form along the east coast on Friday, beginning to impact New England some time Friday night into Saturday morning. It will be in the neighborhood for much of Saturday, with gradual improvement on Sunday as it looks now.
As we know all too well, the track of these winter storms is critical in determining what type of precipitation falls where. With cold air in place the potential certainly exists for a sizable snow storm in New England.
Of all of our storms this season, this one is presenting the best opportunity for significant accumulations over a widespread area.
Track is also key in determining how strong the winds will be, but with a powerful storm passing somewhere offshore expect gusty northeasterly winds. Naturally the winds will be strongest at the coast.
Tides are astronomically high due to a full moon this weekend. Combine those tides with large waves and strong winds kicked up by the storm, and coastal flooding is likely for east facing coastlines. Again, the extent of the flooding will be determined by the track.
SHOULD I CHANGE MY PLANS?
If you have plans to travel on Saturday, or if you have an event planned, certainly keep up to date with the forecast. As mentioned, small track changes will result in meaningful changes to the forecast.
However, with so many signs pointing towards a significant impact of some kind in New England it would be prudent to start thinking about "plan B" options for Saturday.
IS THIS THE START OF ANOTHER BAD WINTER?
One can't help but notice our first major storm of the 2015 winter came almost exactly a year from when this storm may impact us.
Fear not. The odds of another blitz like last year remain about as low as it gets. Overall, El Nino remains a significant driver of our weather, and that favors a milder and less snowy pattern.