New England Ice Storm Weekend Number 4 - NECN
Weather New England

Weather New England

Meteorologists' Observations on the Weather

New England Ice Storm Weekend Number 4



    I can not recall another 4 week period with four consecutive Ice Storms in New England.
    Can you?
    And each Ice storm came on a weekend. Mostly on a Sunday. But this most recent one came on a Saturday.
    Here are some images from Saturday January 11, 2014.


    These two from Augusta Maine, thank you @Neweathereye


    @Diesel_Kiki sent this from Conway New Hampshire


    The Maine Turnpike Authority tweeted this pick of Four Semi Trucks off the Icy Pike Saturday 5am.


    How has Joe Dunn even been getting in and out of the driveway in York County Maine?


    Ryan Breton at melting Frozen Fenway


    Bob Hennessey was on The Mad River in Waitsfield Vermont, just upstream from an Ice Jame in Moretown on Saturday Jan 11.


    Greg from Stowe was on hand for the Winooski River Ice Jam in Montpelier on Sunday.


    We had no major flooding in New England. But the temperature is going back up on Monday, so more Ice Jam flooding is possible.

    The entire lower 48 United States are experiencing a prolonged thaw on the backside of last week's attack of the Polar Vortex. The PV spun back up to the Pole for a recharge, and will likely be back before Groundhog Day.
    In the meantime, a gradual cooling trend with above normal precipitation is on the way.

    Sunday's cold wind and snow was on the backside of the departing Saturday storm. We have one more low pressure center tracking north of us Monday night.
    That low will pull up enough warmth to raise our snow level to about 2000' Tuesday Morning. So after a mild breeze with dry weather Monday, wet and white weather is here Tuesday. The snow level will descend right down the mountain roads during Tuesday afternoon. We should get a dense 3"-6" high mountain snowfall Tuesday.

    Canada pretty much used up all it's supply of cold last week. This week features one cold front after another dropping from Alaska to The Great Lakes and New England. Each front brings a period of snow, and successively colder air. Here in New England we will have front row seats as the jet stream digs a new trough in the east. The trough axis will set up along the Mississippi River, south to the Gulf of Mexico. That means we have half the ingredients, cold from the north and moisture form the south, for a Nor'easter... or two. The problem is a lack of focus (can you relate?). There are so many fronts and energy centers that it's hard for Mother Nature to pull together a single powerful storm. Instead we may end up with several semi powerful storms. It is not out of the question that a big storm may form, but confidence is low at this time.

    Confidence is also low for timing systems after Tuesday.
    Expect snow to fall on and off most of the week. Wind and chill should not be an issue as we are close to an evolving upper level low.
    Upper lows are much better than cold high pressure systems. I call it low barometer cold. We do not get Ice Storms in low barometer cold
    We do get steep lapse rates and instability, which means any available moisture causes upslope snow.

    This week I chose to hold my cards close to the chest on how snowy our late week and weekend may turnout.

    But take these words of wisdom, the last dry weekend here was October 20th, when the Red Sox won the pennant. Play the streak