What can be learned from 1st Boston mayoral race poll?

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July 17, 2013, 6:23 pm
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(NECN: Alison King) - The much anticipated first poll is out in the Boston Mayor's race and what does it tell us?

With 40-percent undecided, it tells us a couple of things. Number one, that most Boston residents are more focused on vacations and the heat wave than they are the Mayor's race and number two, that just about any candidate could still win.
 
That being said, Boston City Councilor John Connolly, with 12 percent, will take his front runner position.

"What I was really happy about in this poll was that we had strong support across the entire city, in every neighborhood," he said.

Connolly's support may be broad, but Marty Walsh's is deep. With 11 percent, the Dorchester State Representative is number two in the poll.

"Since this race started, we knocked on 100,000 doors, we've had 162 events around the city since I started and it's nice to see it, but it's a news day today," Walsh said.

With a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent, the so-called top tier could also include number four, City Councilor Rob Consalvo, with 8 percent and number three, Suffolk County D.A. Dan Conley with 9 percent. As the leader in the money race, Conley began running the first TV ad of the race this week.

Perhaps most surprising is the fact that none of the minority candidates made the top half.

At 4 percent in the poll, Boston City Councilor Felix Arroyo, who starts running a TV ad on Spanish speaking stations Thursday, dismisses the notion that some minority candidates will need to drop out for one to make traction.

Arroyo said, "I'm not in the business of telling people who can or who shouldn't run and I think anyone who would like to run should run."

The poll does give Arroyo something to crow about: The highest favorability rating of any candidate at 51 percent.

Suffolk pollster David Paleologos doesn't think the bottom half is necessarily a bad place to be.

"I think I would rather be in the middle or lower tier where you can show momentum," he said.

Tags: Boston, Alison King, Felix Arroyo, David Paleologos, Marty Walsh, Dan Conley, John Connolly, Rob Consalvo, Boston mayoral race, Boston mayors race, Suffolk University Boston Herald
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